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« Who does the S60 platform benefit? | Main | Free file manager applications »

On October 2004, Chris Anderson - the Chief Editor of Wired Magazine - wrote his famous article The Long Tail, in which he urged people to forget the megahits, and to focus on "the millions of niche markets at the shallow end of the bitstream". The article was clearly a homerun: it first sparked the Long Tail blog, a speech-tour for Chris Anderson (I heard him speak at Nokia house in Jan 2005), and eventually a bestseller book (today selling in Amazon.com with Sales Rank #11).
But wait... What on earth has this to do with S60 applications?
Probably a great deal. But since I wasn't sure, I decided to do some research. According to this page, people have downloaded 26.1 million S60 applications through My-Symbian.com. Of these 26.1 million downloads, the top-10 most popular applications accounted for 4 million = 15%.
Interesting... It seems that 85% of My-Symbian.com downloads comes from the long tail (= outside top-10).
Since I don't have any better download/sales figures about S60 applications, I can't investigate any further. But here is a question for My-Symbian, All About Symbian, Handango, SymbianOne, SymbianGear, and others: what proportion of your S60 application downloads/sales comes from the "long tail"? Let's define the "long tail" here as the applications not in the top-20. I fully understand if you don't want to share the download statistics, but I'm sure many people in the S60 ecosystem would appreciate the info.
I believe "the long tail of S60 applications" is a timely topic worth thinking about, especially as Flash Lite based mini games and other kinds of "mobile snacks" are starting to pop up with increasing pace.
What do you think? Is the "long tail of S60 applications" mode viable? How could we make the life easier for the "long tail" developers?
(big thanks for Oren for the idea behind this blog post)
Comments
Interesting, but bear in mind my own thoughts on all this, in that only class a) 'killer' apps really make any actual money for the developers. The 'long tail' may well account for huge numbers of downloads, but if the apps themselves are marginal then they're not going to make any money. Again, see my AAS article for more on this 8-)
Steve
Posted by: Steve Litchfield | July 18, 2006 04:43 PMYou should have a chat with Michal of My-Symbian to understand the conversion rate. That is number of downloads to actual paid purchases. It is so poor that 3rd party development and sales of Symbian apps looks like a losing prospect.
Boom
Posted by: akBoom | July 19, 2006 11:29 AMActually, I am going to modify the "Top 10" tables soon because they are not representative. The files listed there are usually THE OLDEST applications, hence their biggest number of downloads. And it gets even bigger mainly because the app is listed on the "Top 10" list, i.e. easily downloadable and promoted on the main page.
I have no idea yet what to do. Maybe to select the Top 10 apps I should be diving the number of downloads by the number of days since the program has been available - this would give more reliable data and show actual popularity, irrespective of how long the file has been available for download...
Posted by: Michal Jerz - My-Symbian.com | August 9, 2006 05:57 AM